Uncertainty and Risk

1. Introduction

Part I. Foundations

2. Conjectures, Refutations and Discoveries: Incorporating New Knowledge in Models of Belief and Choice under Uncertainty
Simon Grant, John Quiggin

3. When an Event Makes a Difference
Massimiliano Amarante, Fabio Maccheroni

4. Countable Additivity and the Foundations of Bayesian Statistics
John V. Howard

5. On the Quantification and Decomposition of Uncertainty
Emanuele Borgonovo, Lorenzo Peccati

Part II. The Importance of Representational Tools in Understanding Behaviour Under Uncertainty and Risk

6. Preference for Diversification with Similarity Considerations
Ani Guerdjikova

7. Uncertainty Improves the Second-Best
Hans Haller, Shabnam Mousavi

8. Lorenz Meets Rating but Misses Valuation
Eva Camacho-Cuena, Christian Seidl

9. A Deeper Look at Hyperbolic Discounting
Barry Sopher, Arnav Sheth

Part III. The Assessment of Several Alternative Decision Rules

10. “Take-the-Best” and Other Simple Strategies: Why and When They Work “Well” with Binary Cues
Robin M. Hogarth, Natalia Karelaia

11. On Generalized Secretary Problems
J. Neil Bearden, Ryan O. Murphy

12. Voting on Alternatives or on Criteria? The Meta-Decision on Group Decision Procedures
Niels P. Thomas

Part IV. Models of Risk Attitude Modelling and Methodological Issues

13. Probabilistic Risk Analysis Versus Decision Analysis: Similarities, Differences and Illustrations
Elisabeth Paté-Cornell

14. A Conjoint Measurement Based Rationale for Inducing Preferences
Heiko Großmann, Michael Brocke, Heinz Holling

15. Active Search for Probability Information and Recall Performance: Is Probability an Outstanding Element in the Mental Representation of Risky Decisions?
Odilo W. Huber

16. Evolutionary Analysis of Risk Attitudes in Competitive Bidding Environments Using Simulation
Jayavel Sounderpandian

17. Behavior in Risky Decisions: Focus on Risk Defusing
Oswald Huber

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Nyckelord: BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Management Science BUS042000