Overconfidence and Risk Taking in Foreign Policy Decision Making

1. Introduction
Imran Demir

2. The Relevant Literature on Past Outcomes, Overconfidence and Risk Taking
Imran Demir

3. Modeling the Relationship Between Past Outcomes, Overconfidence and Risk Taking
Imran Demir

4. The Turkish Policy to Remove Syrian President Assad: Overconfidence Obscures Risks and Magnifies Failure
Imran Demir

5. Why Turkish Overconfidence Was Too Obvious
Imran Demir

6. Conclusion
Imran Demir

Nyckelord: Political Science and International Relations, Political Theory, Foreign Policy, Middle Eastern Politics, Comparative Politics, Diplomacy