Decision Theory and Choices: a Complexity Approach

Part I. General Issues

1. Coherence, Complexity and Creativity: the Dynamics of Decision Making
Fortunato Tito Arecchi

2. Complexity Theoretic Bounded Rationality and Satisficing
Kumaraswamy Vela Velupillai

3. Optimisation and “Thoughtful Conjecturing” as Principles of Analytical Guidance in Social Decision Making
Sergio Bruno

Part II. Agent Based Models

4. A New Agent-based Tool to Build Artificial Worlds
Pietro Terna

5. Exploration Modes and Its Impact on Industry Profitability
Lucio Biggiero

6. Financial Fragility and Interacting Units: an Exercise
Carl Chiarella, Simone Giansante, Serena Sordi, Alessandro Vercelli

Part III. Techniques and Tools

7. Using Homogeneous Groupings in Portfolio Management
Jaime Gil-Aluja, Anna M. Gil-Lafuente, Jaime Gil-Lafuente

8. Elman Nets for Credit Risk Assessment
Giacomo Tollo, Marianna Lyra

Part IV. Modeling from Physics

9. From Chemical Kinetics to Models of Acquisition of Information: On the Importance of the Rate of Acquisition of Information
Guglielmo Monaco

10. Thermodynamic-like Approach to Complexity of the Financial Market (in the Light of the Present Financial Crises)
Andrei Khrennikov

11. A Physicist’s Approach to Phase Controlling Chaotic Economic Models
Fortunato Tito Arecchi, Riccardo Meucci, Francesco Salvadori, Dario Acampora, Kais Naimee

Part V. Related Issues

12. A Note on Complaints and Deprivation
Antonio Abatemarco

13. Predictability of SOC Systems. Technological Extreme Events
Giovanna Bimonte

14. Ontology Based Risk Management
Giancarlo Nota, Rossella Aiello, Maria Pia Gregorio

Avainsanat: Mathematics, Game Theory, Economics, Social and Behav. Sciences, Complex Networks, Economic Systems