The Tyranny of Uncertainty

Part I. Once Upon a Time

1. Framing the Risk Challenge
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

2. Understanding the Hidden Risk of Dynamic Complexity
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

3. Understanding the Nature of Risk
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

4. Human Interaction and Perception of Risk
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

5. Risk Evolves as Experience Evolves
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

6. Why the Risk Comes as a Surprise
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

7. Systemic and Systematic Risk
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

8. How Risk Is Currently Mitigated Versus How It Should Be Mitigated
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

9. Consequentialism Is Necessary
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

10. Uncertainty Is the Enemy of Risk Management
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

Part II. Unified View to Discover, Emulate, Predict, and Control Risk

11. Modern Risk Management
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

12. Evolution and Risk: The Bridge and the Missing Link
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

13. The Role of Dynamic Complexity in Risk Propagation
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

14. Scientific Deterministic Risk Management
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

15. New Universal Risk Management Methodology (X-Act® OBC Platform)
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

16. Risk Discovery: Using Patterns to Spot the Un-Spottable
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

17. Predictive Modeling
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

18. Causal Deconstruction
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

19. The Need for Hierarchic Predictive Emulation
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

20. A Mathematical Treatise of Dynamic Complexity
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

21. Emulative Deconstruction for Mathematical Prediction
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

22. Singularity and Chaos Theory
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

23. The Mathematical Solution
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

Part III. Universal Risk Management Cases

24. The Big Dig: Business Evolution and IT Dephasing Creates Dynamic Complexity
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

25. From Corporate Survival to Revival
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

26. An Industry Reinvented by Design: Postal Services
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

27. Expanding Under Control and the Transformative Evolution
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

28. Healthcare System Efficiency: Avoiding a Major Misdiagnosis
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

29. The 2007 Financial Meltdown: Was It Avoidable?
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

30. Greece in Crisis: The Haze, Mirage and Survival
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

31. Dealing with the Growing Epidemic of Chronic Crisis
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

32. Risk Management: A Future Perspective
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

33. Disruption: The Way to Fight Chronic Risk
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

34. Epilog
Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

Avainsanat: Business and Management, Business Strategy/Leadership, Simulation and Modeling, Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods, Business Mathematics, Economic Systems, Energy Security