Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View

1. Introduction and Background
Jakub Bijak

2. Preliminaries
Jakub Bijak

3. Explaining Migration: Brief Overview of Selected Theories
Jakub Bijak

4. Forecasting Migration: Selected Models and Methods
Jakub Bijak

5. Bayesian Model Selection and Forecast Averaging
Jakub Bijak

6. Bayesian VAR Modelling ‘from General to Specific’
Jakub Bijak

7. Selected Approaches to Discontinuities in Trends
Jakub Bijak

8. Evaluation of Presented Forecasts of European Migration
Jakub Bijak

9. Bayesian Computing in Practice
Jakub Bijak

10. Extensions and Limitations of Migration Forecasts
Jakub Bijak

11. Dealing with Uncertain Forecasts: A Policy Perspective
Jakub Bijak

12. Summary and Conclusion: Beyond Migration Forecasting
Jakub Bijak

Keywords: Social Sciences, Demography, Migration, Statistical Theory and Methods