## Kagan, Yan Y.

# Earthquakes: Models, Statistics, Testable Forecasts

The Author derives a new negative-binomial distribution for earthquake numbers, instead of the Poisson distribution, and then determines a fractal correlation dimension for spatial distributions of earthquake hypocenters. The book also investigates the disorientation of earthquake focal mechanisms and shows that it follows the rotational Cauchy distribution. These statistical and mathematical advances make it possible to produce quantitative forecasts of earthquake occurrence. In these forecasts earthquake rate in time, space, and focal mechanism orientation is evaluated.

**Keywords:** analysis; occurrence; methodologically; first; book; comprehensive; earthquake; rigorous; models; multidimensional; point; stochastic; theory; processes; author; universal; parameters; gutenbergrichter; classical, Applied Probability & Statistics, Theory, Modeling & Simulation, Applied Probability & Statistics, Theory, Modeling & Simulation

- Author(s)
- Kagan, Yan Y.
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons, Inc.
- Publication year
- 2014
- Language
- en
- Edition
- 1
- Series
- Wiley Works
- Page amount
- 312 pages
- Category
- Natural Sciences
- Format
- Ebook
- eISBN (ePUB)
- 9781118637890
- Printed ISBN
- 9781118637920