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Kagan, Yan Y.

Earthquakes: Models, Statistics, Testable Forecasts

Kagan, Yan Y. - Earthquakes: Models, Statistics, Testable Forecasts, ebook

123,75€

Ebook, ePUB with Adobe DRM
ISBN: 9781118637890
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Printing94 pages with an additional page accrued every 8 hours, capped at 94 pages
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The proposed book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes are employed to approximate the earthquake occurrence pattern and evaluate its parameters. The Author shows that most of these parameters have universal values. These results help explain the classical earthquake distributions: Omori's law and the Gutenberg-Richter relation.

The Author derives a new negative-binomial distribution for earthquake numbers, instead of the Poisson distribution, and then determines a fractal correlation dimension for spatial distributions of earthquake hypocenters. The book also investigates the disorientation of earthquake focal mechanisms and shows that it follows the rotational Cauchy distribution. These statistical and mathematical advances make it possible to produce quantitative forecasts of earthquake occurrence. In these forecasts earthquake rate in time, space, and focal mechanism orientation is evaluated.

Keywords: Geophysics

Author(s)
Publisher
John Wiley and Sons, Inc.
Publication year
2014
Language
en
Edition
1
Series
Statistical Physics of Fracture and Breakdown
Page amount
312 pages
Category
Natural Sciences
Format
Ebook
eISBN (ePUB)
9781118637890
Printed ISBN
9781118637920

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