Modeling Demographic Processes In Marked Populations

Section I. Population Dynamics – Growth, Density-Dependence and Decomposing ?

1. Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Inference About Population Growth
Richard J. Barker, Matthew R. Schofield, Doug P. Armstrong, R. Scott Davidson

2. Assessing Density-Dependence: Where Are We Left?
Jean-Dominique Lebreton

3. The Efficient Semiparametric Regression Modeling of Capture-Recapture Data: Assessing the Impact of Climate on Survival of Two Antarctic Seabird Species
Olivier Gimenez, Christophe Barbraud

4. Multivariate State Space Modelling of Bird Migration Count Data
Jonas Knape, Niclas Jonzén, Martin Sköld, Leonid Sokolov

Section II. Evolutionary Ecology

5. Contribution of Capture-Mark-Recapture Modeling to Studies of Evolution by Natural Selection
Emmanuelle Cam

6. Application of Capture–Recapture to Addressing Questions in Evolutionary Ecology
Michael J. Conroy

7. Estimating Reproductive Costs with Multi-State Mark-Recapture Models, Multiple Observable States, and Temporary Emigration
Jay Rotella

8. Estimating Latent Time of Maturation and Survival Costs of Reproduction in Continuous Time from Capture–Recapture Data
Torbjørn Ergon, Nigel G. Yoccoz, James D. Nichols

Section III. Abundance Estimation – Direct Methods, Proxies, Occupancy Models and Point Count Data

9. Inferences About Landbird Abundance from Count Data: Recent Advances and Future Directions
James D. Nichols, Len Thomas, Paul B. Conn

10. Sources of Measurement Error, Misclassification Error, and Bias in Auditory Avian Point Count Data
Theodore R. Simons, Kenneth H. Pollock, John M. Wettroth, Mathew W. Alldredge, Krishna Pacifici, Jerome Brewster

11. Density Estimation by Spatially Explicit Capture–Recapture: Likelihood-Based Methods
Murray G. Efford, David L. Borchers, Andrea E. Byrom

12. A Generalized Mixed Effects Model of Abundance for Mark-Resight Data When Sampling is Without Replacement
Brett T. McClintock, Gary C. White, Kenneth P. Burnham, Moira A. Pryde

13. Evaluation of the Linkage Disequilibrium Method for Estimating Effective Population Size
James C. Russell, Rachel M. Fewster

Section IV. Dispersal, Movement and Migration – Methods and Multi-State Models

14. Migration and Movement – The Next Stage
Carl James Schwarz

15. Stopover Duration Analysis with Departure Probability Dependent on Unknown Time Since Arrival
Shirley Pledger, Murray Efford, Kenneth Pollock, Jaime Collazo, James Lyons

16. Habitat Selection, Age-Specific Recruitment and Reproductive Success in a Long-Lived Seabird
Lise M. Aubry, Emmanuelle Cam, Jean-Yves Monnat

17. Cubic Splines for Estimating the Distribution of Residence Time Using Individual Resightings Data
Rachel M. Fewster, Nathalie J. Patenaude

18. Detecting Invisible Migrants: An Application of Genetic Methods to Estimate Migration Rates
Steven D. Miller, Hamish E. MacInnes, Rachel M. Fewster

Section V. Wildlife and Conservation Management

19. Stochastic Variation in Avian Survival Rates: Life-History Predictions, Population Consequences, and the Potential Responses to Human Perturbations and Climate Change
Joel A. Schmutz

20. Filling a Void: Abundance Estimation of North American Populations of Arctic Geese Using Hunter Recoveries
Ray T. Alisauskas, Kiel L. Drake, James D. Nichols

21. Integration of Demographic Analyses and Decision Modeling in Support of Management of Invasive Monk Parakeets, an Urban and Agricultural Pest
Michael J. Conroy, Juan Carlos Senar

Section VI. Combing Sources of Information – Kalman Filters, Matrix Methods and Joint Likelihoods

22. Completing the Ecological Jigsaw
Panagiotis Besbeas, Rachel S. Borysiewicz, Bryon J.T. Morgan

23. Using a State-Space Model of the British Song Thrush Turdus philomelos Population to Diagnose the Causes of a Population Decline
Stephen R. Baillie, Stephen P. Brooks, Ruth King, Len Thomas

24. A Hierarchical Covariate Model for Detection, Availability and Abundance of Florida Manatees at a Warm Water Aggregation Site
Christopher J. Fonnesbeck, Holly H. Edwards, John E. Reynolds

25. An Integrated Analysis of Multisite Recruitment, Mark-Recapture-Recovery and Multisite Census Data
R S Borysiewicz, B J T Morgan, V Hénaux, T Bregnballe, J -D Lebreton, O Gimenez

Section VII. Bayesian Applications - Advances, Random Effects and Hierarchical Models

26. Bayes Factors and Multimodel Inference
William A. Link, Richard J. Barker

27. Estimating Demographic Parameters from Complex Data Sets: A Comparison of Bayesian Hierarchical and Maximum-Likelihood Methods for Estimating Survival Probabilities of Tawny Owls, Strix aluco in Finland
Charles M. Francis, Pertti Saurola

28. Inference About Species Richness and Community Structure Using Species-Specific Occupancy Models in the National Swiss Breeding Bird Survey MHB
Marc Kéry, J. Andrew Royle

29. Time-Varying Covariates and Semi-Parametric Regression in Capture–Recapture: An Adaptive Spline Approach
Simon J. Bonner, David L. Thomson, Carl J. Schwarz

30. A Further Step Toward the Mother-of-All-Models: Flexibility and Functionality in the Modeling of Capture–Recapture Data
Matthew R. Schofield, Richard J. Barker

Section VIII. The Robust Design – Sampling, Applications and Advances

31. Exploring Extensions to Multi-State Models with Multiple Unobservable States
Larissa L. Bailey, William L. Kendall, Don R. Church

32. Extending the Robust Design for DNA-Based Capture–Recapture Data Incorporating Genotyping Error and Laboratory Data
Paul M. Lukacs, Kenneth P. Burnham, Brian P. Dreher, Kim T. Scribner, Scott R. Winterstein

33. A Traditional and a Less-Invasive Robust Design: Choices in Optimizing Effort Allocation for Seabird Population Studies
Sarah J. Converse, William L. Kendall, Paul F. Doherty, Maura B. Naughton, James E. Hines

34. Non-random Temporary Emigration and the Robust Design: Conditions for Bias at the End of a Time Series
Catherine A. Langtimm

Section IX. State Uncertainty – Assignmant Error and Unobservable States

35. One Size Does Not Fit All: Adapting Mark-Recapture and Occupancy Models for State Uncertainty
William L. Kendall

36. The Stakes of Capture–Recapture Models with State Uncertainty
Roger Pradel

37. Rank and Redundancy of Multistate Mark-Recapture Models for Seabird Populations with Unobservable States
Christine M. Hunter, Hal Caswell

38. Mark-Recapture Jolly-Seber Abundance Estimation with Classification Uncertainty
Wendell O. Challenger, Carl J. Schwarz

39. Program E-Surge: A Software Application for Fitting Multievent Models
Rémi Choquet, Lauriane Rouan, Roger Pradel

40. Estimation of Lifetime Reproductive Success When Reproductive Status Cannot Always Be Assessed
Laurine Rouan, Jean-Michel Gaillard, Yann Guédon, Roger Pradel

Section X. New Software Developments for Modeling Demographic Processes

41. WinBUGS for Population Ecologists: Bayesian Modeling Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods
Olivier Gimenez, Simon J. Bonner, Ruth King, Richard A. Parker, Stephen P. Brooks, Lara E. Jamieson, Vladimir Grosbois, Byron J.T. Morgan, Len Thomas

42. Comparison of Fixed Effect, Random Effect, and Hierarchical Bayes Estimators for Mark Recapture Data Using AD Model Builder
Mark N. Maunder, Hans J. Skaug, David A. Fournier, Simon D. Hoyle

Section XI. Open Forum

43. On Adjusting for Missed Visits in the Indexing of Abundance from “Constant Effort” Ringing
Vanessa M. Cave, Stephen N. Freeman, Stephen P. Brooks, Ruth King, Dawn E. Balmer

44. Simulation Performance of Bayesian Estimators of Abundance Employing Age-at-Harvest and Mark-Recovery Data
Paul B. Conn, Gary C. White, Jeffrey L. Laake

45. A Spatial Model for Estimating Mortality Rates, Abundance and Movement Probabilities from Fishery Tag-Recovery Data
J. Paige Eveson, Geoff M. Laslett, Tom Polacheck

46. Gaussian Semiparametric Analysis Using Hierarchical Predictive Models
Daniel Fink, Wesley Hochachka

47. Effect of Senescence on Estimation of Survival Probability When Age Is Unknown
David Fletcher, Murray G. Efford

48. Weak Identifiability in Models for Mark-Recapture-Recovery Data
Olivier Gimenez, Byron J.T. Morgan, Stephen P. Brooks

49. Estimating N: A Robust Approach to Capture Heterogeneity
Byron J.T. Morgan, Martin S. Ridout

50. Evaluation of Bias, Precision and Accuracy of Mortality Cause Proportion Estimators from Ring Recovery Data
Michaele Schaub

51. Standardising Terminology and Notation for the Analysis of Demographic Processes in Marked Populations
David L. Thomson, Michael J. Conroy, David R. Anderson, Kenneth P. Burnham, Evan G. Cooch, Charles M. Francis, Jean-Dominique Lebreton, Mark S. Lindberg, Byron J.T. Morgan, David L. Otis, Gary C. White

52. Estimating the Seasonal Distribution of Migrant Bird Species: Can Standard Ringing Data Be Used?
Kasper Thorup, Paul B. Conn

53. Evaluation of a Bayesian MCMC Random Effects Inference Methodology for Capture-Mark-Recapture Data
Gary C. White, Kenneth P. Burnham, Richard J. Barker

Keywords: MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / General MAT029000